MARCH PRICE LIFT JUSTIFIED AS IDB HOLD FEBRUARY INDEX
Friday, 15 April 2011 17:13
Speaking at the meeting of the IFA National Dairy Committee held on Kilkenny
’s Greenfield Farm, Chairman Seamus Brennan said that the Irish Dairy Board
had held the prices of butter and SMP traded by co-ops during March at the
February level, which yielded a gross 37.86c/l before processing cost, at
3.3% protein and 3.6% butterfat, so that a March milk price of 33c/l + VAT
was both justified and realistic.
He added that last week’s Fonterra Global Dairy Trade auction had seen a
modest 2.4% price adjustment overall, and a 1.5% price increase for SMP.  “I
believe the latest Rabobank analysis that the underlying dairy market
factors remain sound and tight is being confirmed.  Market sentiment may be
a little nervous right now, but demand remains strong from importing areas
such as China and Russia, and is keeping up with increased supplies,” Mr
Brennan said.
Mr Brennan stressed that IFA had argued in February that a 3c/l price
increase to 33c/l + VAT was fully justified, and this argument remained
valid for March, as no co-op had increased their February price much above
31.5c/l + VAT.  He added that, as Cheddar cheese prices are now rising, a
1.5c/l price increase in March is both credible and affordable for all
co-ops, and important to allow farmers cope with rising input costs and make
necessary on farm investments.
“While top spot quotes have weakened somewhat in recent weeks, it is clear
that, in the main, butter and powders have continued to trade at reasonably
strong prices during March.  In addition, Cheddar Cheese prices, which
normally lag behind other commodity price trends by a few months, have
started to lift in the last few weeks,” he said.
Commenting on global markets, Mr Brennan added that the small 2.4%
adjustment in this week’s Fonterra average auction price, and the 1.5%
increase in average SMP prices reflected the fact that buyers still see the
world market is in relatively tight balance despite recent weakness in spot
quotes.
“It is clear to me that co-ops have scope to increase milk prices in March.
To allow their suppliers’ margins to recover in the face of rising input
costs, and to enable them to plan necessary on-farm investments, they must
pass back 1.5c/l on March milk,” he concluded.